Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Runnymede Eviction Risk: Lower , Rockwood
Tract 51041100910 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,638 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51041100910 covers part of the Runnymede area of Rockwood, VA, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,638 residents. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Chesterfield County average of 42.3%.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,079
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$106,383
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockwood and the region
Centroid at 37.4759, -77.5829 · click any tract to drill in
Why Runnymede scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,150 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockwood
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockwood
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockwood
3.8
How Runnymede compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 274Total filings over 7 yrs
- 11.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.8%Peak (2015)
- 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.1%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 17.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Runnymede
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10.
The voucher gap is 25.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,150 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Rockwood commands.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.6/10. Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
Court records carry 274 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The worst year on record was 2015, when 12.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100910
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100910?
Census tract 51041100910 in the Runnymede neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100910?
Median gross rent is $2,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100910?
5.1% of residents in tract 51041100910 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,638.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100910?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 34th, minority 55th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100910 considered part of Runnymede?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100910 fall within Runnymede (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100910?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 274 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100910 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.45% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100910 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100910 compare to Rockwood overall?
Tract 51041100910 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Rockwood at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockwood
Top eight tracts in Rockwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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