Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Quiet Pond Eviction Risk: Lower , Burke Centre
Tract 51059432100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,734 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51059432100 is a census tract in the Quiet Pond area of Burke Centre, VA. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,734 residents. Cost burden runs 58% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,436
Renter share20.1%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$148,113
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burke Centre and the region
Centroid at 38.7884, -77.3069 · click any tract to drill in
Why Quiet Pond scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burke Centre
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,250 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burke Centre
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burke Centre
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burke Centre
3.4
How Quiet Pond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 15Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.3%Peak (2011)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.5%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 22.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Quiet Pond
33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
SNAP participation runs 4.9% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 filings here across 4 tracked years. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.
Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. At $2,250 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Burke Centre commands.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 1.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059432100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059432100?
Census tract 51059432100 in the Quiet Pond neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059432100?
Median gross rent is $2,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059432100?
4.9% of residents in tract 51059432100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,734.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059432100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 25th, minority 47th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 51059432100 considered part of Quiet Pond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059432100 fall within Quiet Pond (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059432100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059432100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.04% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059432100 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059432100 compare to Burke Centre overall?
Tract 51059432100 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Burke Centre at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burke eviction risk Centre; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burke Centre
Top eight tracts in Burke Centre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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