Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Glenmere Eviction Risk: Lower , Dunn Loring
Tract 51059471301 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,020 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Eviction risk in the Glenmere neighborhood of Dunn Loring centers on tract 51059471301, which scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,020 residents. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,062 monthly, set against $117,176 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 52%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,563
Renter share79.5%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$117,176
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dunn Loring and the region
Centroid at 38.9044, -77.2108 · click any tract to drill in
Why Glenmere scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dunn Loring
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,062 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunn Loring
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunn Loring
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunn Loring
4.0
How Glenmere compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2011)
- 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Glenmere. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.4%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 19.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Glenmere
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dunn Loring, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 147 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 2.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059471301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059471301?
Census tract 51059471301 in the Glenmere neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059471301?
Median gross rent is $2,062/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059471301?
2.4% of residents in tract 51059471301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,020.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059471301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 28th, minority 77th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 51059471301 considered part of Glenmere?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059471301 fall within Glenmere (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059471301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059471301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.82% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059471301 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059471301 compare to Dunn Loring overall?
Tract 51059471301 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Dunn Loring at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunn Loring; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dunn Loring
Top eight tracts in Dunn Loring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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