Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Floris Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059481105 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,819
Tract 51059481105 sits in Floris, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. The voucher gap is 46.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,560
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$242,264
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Floris and the region
Centroid at 38.9374, -77.3985 · click any tract to drill in
Why Floris scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Floris
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,380 rent vs county FMR
9.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Floris
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Floris
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Floris
5.3
How Floris compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 9Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.4%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 10.2%Frequent mental distress
- 17.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Floris
Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 25% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.2% against 31.5% nationally. Food insecurity runs 5.4% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions over 3 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Against average income of $242,264, annual rent is just 17%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059481105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059481105?
Census tract 51059481105 in Floris scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059481105?
Median gross rent is $3,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059481105?
2.8% of residents in tract 51059481105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,819.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059481105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 19th, minority 68th, housing 6th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059481105?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059481105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.03% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059481105 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059481105 compare to Floris overall?
Tract 51059481105 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Floris at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Floris; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Floris
Top eight tracts in Floris ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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