Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Sequoyah Eviction Risk: Moderate , Woodlawn
Tract 51059421701 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,001 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
51059421701 is a census tract in the Sequoyah area of Woodlawn, VA. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,001 residents. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,694
Renter share52.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$80,174
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodlawn and the region
Centroid at 38.7335, -77.1067 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sequoyah scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodlawn
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,652 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodlawn
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodlawn
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodlawn
2.2
How Sequoyah compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 228Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.9%Peak (2011)
- 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sequoyah. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.3%Food insecurity
- 17.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 19.5%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sequoyah
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.3/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 2.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 228 filings here across 4 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,652, 14% below the Woodlawn average. It sits 0.7 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 10.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059421701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421701?
Census tract 51059421701 in the Sequoyah neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059421701?
Median gross rent is $1,652/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421701?
9.1% of residents in tract 51059421701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,001.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 68th, minority 93th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 51059421701 considered part of Sequoyah?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059421701 fall within Sequoyah (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 228 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059421701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.27% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059421701 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059421701 compare to Woodlawn overall?
Tract 51059421701 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Woodlawn at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodlawn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodlawn
Top eight tracts in Woodlawn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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