Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
North Mount Vernon Eviction Risk: Lower , Fort Hunt
Tract 51059415700 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,853 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3.2/10, tract 51059415700 in the North Mount Vernon area of Fort Hunt, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 60% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,272
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$209,348
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Hunt and the region
Centroid at 38.7212, -77.0528 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Mount Vernon scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Hunt
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Hunt
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Hunt
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Hunt
3.3
How North Mount Vernon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2011)
- 3Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.9%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 11.7%Frequent mental distress
- 20.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Mount Vernon
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Food insecurity runs 4.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.1 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. Housing insecurity runs 4.9% against 14.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 3 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 1.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059415700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059415700?
Census tract 51059415700 in the North Mount Vernon neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059415700?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059415700?
2.1% of residents in tract 51059415700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,853.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059415700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 13th, minority 11th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 51059415700 considered part of North Mount Vernon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059415700 fall within North Mount Vernon (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059415700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51059415700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.94% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059415700 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059415700 compare to Fort Hunt overall?
Tract 51059415700 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Fort Hunt at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Hunt; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Hunt
Top eight tracts in Fort Hunt ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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