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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Hollindale Eviction Risk: Lower , Fort Hunt

Tract 51059415402 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,590 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 51059415402 runs through Hollindale in Fort Hunt. With 2,590 residents, it scores 5.7/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #31,116 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,219 monthly, set against $186,667 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 5% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share12.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$186,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hollindale
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Fort Hunt
High
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#1,772 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Hunt and the region

Centroid at 38.7505, -77.0661 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hollindale scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Hunt
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$3,219 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Hunt
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Hunt
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Hunt
3.3

How Hollindale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hollindale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 415402Fort Hunt: 3.33.3Fort Huntparent cityCounty: 1.51.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 27Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak (2016)
  • 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594154022011: 7 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (1.57/100 renter HHs)2016: 11 filings (6.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 57% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hollindale

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Hunt, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059415402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059415402?

Census tract 51059415402 in the Hollindale neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059415402?

Median gross rent is $3,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059415402?

7.3% of residents in tract 51059415402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,590.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059415402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 46th, minority 58th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 51059415402 considered part of Hollindale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059415402 fall within Hollindale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059415402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059415402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.11% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059415402 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059415402 compare to Fort Hunt overall?

Tract 51059415402 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Fort Hunt at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Hunt; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Hunt

Top eight tracts in Fort Hunt ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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