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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Glenmere Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dunn Loring

Tract 51059471301 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,020 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 51059471301 covers part of the Glenmere area of Idylwood, VA, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,020 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 52% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units1,563
Renter share79.5%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$117,176

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Glenmere
Very High
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Dunn Loring
Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#106 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#919 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dunn Loring and the region

Centroid at 38.9044, -77.2108 · click any tract to drill in

Why Glenmere scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dunn Loring
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,062 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunn Loring
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunn Loring
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunn Loring
4.0

How Glenmere compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Glenmere risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 471301Dunn Loring: 4.04.0Dunn Loringparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 147Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 2.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2011)
  • 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594713012011: 60 filings (4.61/100 renter HHs)2012: 41 filings (3.15/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2016: 27 filings (2.04/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Glenmere. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Glenmere

79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.3% against 31.5% nationally.

34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 147 evictions over 4 years of observation.

Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059471301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059471301?

Census tract 51059471301 in the Glenmere neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059471301?

Median gross rent is $2,062/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059471301?

2.4% of residents in tract 51059471301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,020.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059471301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 28th, minority 77th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 51059471301 considered part of Glenmere?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059471301 fall within Glenmere (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059471301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059471301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.82% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059471301 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059471301 compare to Dunn Loring overall?

Tract 51059471301 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Dunn Loring at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunn Loring; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dunn Loring

Top eight tracts in Dunn Loring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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