Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #25,210 of 84,120 nationally
Windsor Knoll Eviction Risk: Moderate , Kingstowne
Tract 51059421102 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,638 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51059421102 sits in the Windsor Knoll neighborhood of Kingstowne, Virginia. It has a population of 3,638 and an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). 58% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 30% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,963/month against a median household income of $150,662 — roughly 16% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,392
Renter share44.1%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$150,662
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kingstowne and the region
Centroid at 38.7541, -77.1557 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Knoll scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kingstowne
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,963 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kingstowne
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kingstowne
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kingstowne
4.9
How Windsor Knoll compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 68Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2011)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Windsor Knoll. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 51059421102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421102?
Census tract 51059421102 in the Windsor Knoll neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059421102?
Median gross rent is $1,963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421102?
4.7% of residents in tract 51059421102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,638.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 84th, minority 71th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 51059421102 considered part of Windsor Knoll?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059421102 fall within Windsor Knoll (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 68 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059421102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.78% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059421102 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059421102 compare to Kingstowne overall?
Tract 51059421102 scores 5.8/10 — lower than the parent city of Kingstowne at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kingstowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kingstowne
Top eight tracts in Kingstowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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