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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,434 of 84,120 nationally

Parklawn Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lincolnia

Tract 51059451800 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,590 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51059451800 sits in the Parklawn neighborhood of Lincolnia, Virginia. It has a population of 3,590 and an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). 72% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 23% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $3,500/month against a median household income of $148,615 — roughly 28% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 3% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,247
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$148,615

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Parklawn
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank — 67th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 4 tracts In Lincolnia
Elevated
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank — 92th percentileBottomTop
#23 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank — 87th percentileBottomTop
#289 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincolnia and the region

Centroid at 38.8326, -77.1439 · click any tract to drill in

Why Parklawn scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincolnia
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,500 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincolnia
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincolnia
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincolnia
5.4

How Parklawn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Parklawn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 451800Lincolnia: 6.56.5Lincolniaparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 27Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 5.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2016)
  • 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594518002011: 4 filings (3.92/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (3.92/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (7.84/100 renter HHs)2016: 11 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 175% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059451800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059451800?

Census tract 51059451800 in the Parklawn neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059451800?

Median gross rent is $3,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059451800?

3.9% of residents in tract 51059451800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,590.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059451800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 23th, minority 73th, housing 13th.

Q5

Is tract 51059451800 considered part of Parklawn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059451800 fall within Parklawn (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059451800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059451800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.84% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 51059451800 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 51059451800 compare to Lincolnia overall?

Tract 51059451800 scores 6.2/10 — lower than the parent city of Lincolnia at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincolnia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lincolnia

Top eight tracts in Lincolnia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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