Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Brook Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , North Springfield
Tract 51059430500 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 1,503 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 51059430500 sits in the Brook Hill area of North Springfield eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. Population here is 1,503. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units514
Renter share7.0%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$152,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across North Springfield and the region
Centroid at 38.7962, -77.2064 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brook Hill scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North Springfield
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,596 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Springfield
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Springfield
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Springfield
5.8
How Brook Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 3 yrs
- 30.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 36.4%Peak (2012)
- 4Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 12.3%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brook Hill
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
Average gross rent is $2,596, 18% above the North Springfield average. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 10 eviction filings across 3 observed years.
Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 12.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2012, when 36.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 30.3% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059430500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059430500?
Census tract 51059430500 in the Brook Hill neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059430500?
Median gross rent is $2,596/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059430500?
6.6% of residents in tract 51059430500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,503.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059430500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 82th, minority 65th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 51059430500 considered part of Brook Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059430500 fall within Brook Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059430500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059430500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.30% of renter households, peaking at 36.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059430500 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059430500 compare to North Springfield overall?
Tract 51059430500 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of North Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in North Springfield
Top eight tracts in North Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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