Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Leewood Eviction Risk: Lower , North Springfield
Tract 51059452400 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,730 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 51059452400 in the Leewood area of North Springfield, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,730. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,236
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$141,719
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across North Springfield and the region
Centroid at 38.8055, -77.1982 · click any tract to drill in
Why Leewood scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North Springfield
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,226 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Springfield
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Springfield
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Springfield
5.8
How Leewood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 430Total filings over 4 yrs
- 20.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.1%Peak (2012)
- 91Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.9%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Leewood
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 430 filings here across 4 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 23.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 20.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters.
It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent is $2,226, close to the North Springfield average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059452400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059452400?
Census tract 51059452400 in the Leewood neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059452400?
Median gross rent is $2,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059452400?
6.5% of residents in tract 51059452400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,730.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059452400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 49th, minority 75th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 51059452400 considered part of Leewood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059452400 fall within Leewood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059452400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 430 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059452400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.09% of renter households, peaking at 23.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059452400 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059452400 compare to North Springfield overall?
Tract 51059452400 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of North Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in North Springfield
Top eight tracts in North Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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