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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Beau Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Wolf Trap

Tract 51059460100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,184 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51059460100 sits in the Beau Ridge area of Wolf Trap, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 4,184. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 4% Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,495
Renter share5.8%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$229,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Beau Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Wolf Trap
Very High
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#170 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wolf Trap and the region

Centroid at 38.9478, -77.2750 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beau Ridge scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wolf Trap
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wolf Trap
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wolf Trap
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wolf Trap
5.3

How Beau Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Beau Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 460100Wolf Trap: 4.04.0Wolf Trapparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 1.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2011)
  • 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594601002011: 1 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2012: 1 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beau Ridge

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.1/10. Cost burden runs 36% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.

Court records carry 3 eviction filings across 3 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2011 at 1.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059460100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059460100?

Census tract 51059460100 in the Beau Ridge neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059460100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059460100?

6.0% of residents in tract 51059460100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,184.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059460100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 36th, minority 53th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 51059460100 considered part of Beau Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059460100 fall within Beau Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059460100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059460100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.12% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059460100 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059460100 compare to Wolf Trap overall?

Tract 51059460100 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Wolf Trap at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wolf Trap; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wolf Trap

Top eight tracts in Wolf Trap ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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