Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Sun Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Wolf Trap
Tract 51059460300 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,801 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 51059460300 in the Sun Valley area of Wolf Trap, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,801. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units965
Renter share4.8%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$248,733
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wolf Trap and the region
Centroid at 38.9229, -77.2757 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sun Valley scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wolf Trap
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wolf Trap
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wolf Trap
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wolf Trap
5.3
How Sun Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2013)
- 2Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sun Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 3.9%Housing insecurity
- 2.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.0%Food insecurity
- 2.3%SNAP enrollment
- 2.9%Transit barriers
- 3.4%No health insurance
- 10.1%Frequent mental distress
- 19.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sun Valley
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
SNAP participation runs 2.3% against 15.2% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.1/10.
Cost burden runs 48% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. It sits 0.9 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2 filings here across 1 tracked years. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Filings peaked in 2013 at 6.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059460300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059460300?
Census tract 51059460300 in the Sun Valley neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059460300?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059460300?
1.2% of residents in tract 51059460300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,801.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059460300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 30th, minority 42th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 51059460300 considered part of Sun Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059460300 fall within Sun Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059460300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51059460300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.06% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059460300 struggle to pay rent?
About 3.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059460300 compare to Wolf Trap overall?
Tract 51059460300 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Wolf Trap at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wolf Trap; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wolf Trap
Top eight tracts in Wolf Trap ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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