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Neighborhood · Harrisonburg, VA

Ridge Area Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 16,712 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 4.5–6.4

Ridge Area is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Harrisonburg with 3 census tracts and a population of 16,712 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 38% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $781/month sits 34% lower than the Harrisonburg citywide average ($1,184).

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Ridge Area vs Harrisonburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.7% +91%
Harrisonburg: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$781 -34%
Harrisonburg: $1,184
Average HH income
$72,605 +22%
Harrisonburg: $59,752
Poverty rate
41.1% +61%
Harrisonburg: 25.6%
Renter share
61.3% +1%
Harrisonburg: 60.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ridge Area and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.5–6.4

Why Ridge Area scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
61% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
41.1% below poverty line · Range 5.0–10.0 across tracts
7.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–5.0 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Ridge Area vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Ridge Area score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Ridge Area: 5.45.4Ridge AreaNeighborhoodParent city: 4.34.3Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Ridge Area?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.9 points from 4.5 to 6.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Ridge Area

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51660000207 6.4 6,101 66% $1,262
51660000302 5.1 5,631 47% $952
51660000206 4.5 4,980 50%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 22%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ridge Area

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Ridge Area

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Ridge Area?

Ridge Area scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Ridge Area compare to Harrisonburg overall?

Ridge Area scores 1.1 points higher than Harrisonburg overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $781 vs $1,184.
Q3

What is the average rent in Ridge Area?

Average gross rent in Ridge Area is $781/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Ridge Area residents are renters?

61% of Ridge Area households are renter-occupied (vs 61% in Harrisonburg). The neighborhood has 16,712 residents.
Q5

Is Ridge Area a high social-vulnerability area?

Ridge Area sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Ridge Area have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Ridge Area is census tract 51660000207 (score 6.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 6.4, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Ridge Area for landlords?

Ridge Area carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Harrisonburg as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Ridge Area?

Ridge Area has 16,327 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.6%), Hispanic / Latino (15.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Ridge Area

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Harrisonburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Ridge Area.

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