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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,599 of 84,120 nationally

Laurel Lakes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Glen Allen

Tract 51087200413 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,253 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.9/10 for census tract 51087200413 reflects conditions in the Laurel Lakes neighborhood of Glen Allen, Virginia. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 21% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,567 a month while the average household earns $96,799 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 6% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,913
Renter share7.0%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$96,799

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Laurel Lakes
Very High
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileBottomTop
#84 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Very Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileBottomTop
#1,453 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileBottomTop
#45,599 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Glen Allen and the region

Centroid at 37.6577, -77.5346 · click any tract to drill in

Why Laurel Lakes scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Glen Allen
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,567 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Glen Allen
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Glen Allen
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Glen Allen
5.0

How Laurel Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Laurel Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 200413Glen Allen: 4.44.4Glen Allenparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.94.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 15Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 4.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak (2016)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Laurel Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Laurel Lakes

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Glen Allen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 4.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.2% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200413

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200413?

Census tract 51087200413 in the Laurel Lakes neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200413?

Median gross rent is $1,567/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200413?

2.0% of residents in tract 51087200413 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,253.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200413?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 59th, minority 45th, housing 3th.

Q5

Is tract 51087200413 considered part of Laurel Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200413 fall within Laurel Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200413?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200413 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.61% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 51087200413 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 51087200413 compare to Glen Allen overall?

Tract 51087200413 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Glen Allen at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Glen Allen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

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