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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Hechler Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Highland Springs

Tract 51087201405 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,393 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 51087201405 in the Hechler Village area of Henrico County, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,393. Against Henrico County at 47.8%, 87% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 1% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,042
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$46,926

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Hechler Village
Very Low
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#545 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Highland Springs and the region

Centroid at 37.5385, -77.3584 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hechler Village scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Highland Springs
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,205 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Springs
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Springs
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Springs
5.0

How Hechler Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hechler Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 2014054.0Highland Springsparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hechler Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hechler Village

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 32.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Disability prevalence runs 44.3% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10. It sits 0.6 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3.

On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087201405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201405?

Census tract 51087201405 in the Hechler Village neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087201405?

Median gross rent is $1,205/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201405?

5.9% of residents in tract 51087201405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,393.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 29th, minority 99th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 51087201405 considered part of Hechler Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201405 fall within Hechler Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51087201405 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51087201405 compare to Highland Springs overall?

Tract 51087201405 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Highland Springs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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