Neighborhood · Ranked #29,435 of 84,120 nationally

Canterbury Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuckahoe

Tract 51087200135 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,027 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Eviction risk in Canterbury in Tuckahoe centers on tract 51087200135, which scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,027 residents. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,826 monthly, set against $123,546 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 23% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units811

Renter share37.5%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate6.5%

Median income$123,546

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region

Centroid at 37.6019, -77.5996 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canterbury scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tuckahoe

8.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

6.5% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,826 rent vs county FMR

5.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tuckahoe

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tuckahoe

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tuckahoe

5.4

How Canterbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

8%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
26%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.9%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
5.6%SNAP enrollment
4.9%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
27.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canterbury

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200135

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200135?

Census tract 51087200135 in the Canterbury neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51087200135?

Median gross rent is $1,826/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200135?

6.5% of residents in tract 51087200135 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,027.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200135?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 30th, minority 26th, housing 18th.

Is tract 51087200135 considered part of Canterbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200135 fall within Canterbury (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51087200135 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51087200135 compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Tract 51087200135 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe

Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.