Neighborhood · Ranked #29,435 of 84,120 nationally

Drouin Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuckahoe

Tract 51087200133 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,718 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 6.2/10, tract 51087200133 in the Drouin Hill area of Tuckahoe ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,718 residents. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,720 monthly, set against $94,864 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 76% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 44% Owners 24%

Tract context

Occupied units1,152

Renter share75.5%

SVI overall0.05

Poverty rate3.6%

Median income$94,864

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region

Centroid at 37.5927, -77.6076 · click any tract to drill in

Why Drouin Hill scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tuckahoe

8.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

3.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,720 rent vs county FMR

5.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tuckahoe

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tuckahoe

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tuckahoe

5.4

How Drouin Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

10%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.4%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
15.9%Frequent mental distress
25.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Drouin Hill

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200133

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200133?

Census tract 51087200133 in the Drouin Hill neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51087200133?

Median gross rent is $1,720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200133?

3.6% of residents in tract 51087200133 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,718.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200133?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 9th, minority 52th, housing 7th.

Is tract 51087200133 considered part of Drouin Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200133 fall within Drouin Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51087200133 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51087200133 compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Tract 51087200133 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe

Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.