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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hopewell

Tract 51670820700 · Hopewell city, VA · pop 2,908 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in the Arlington area of Hopewell centers on tract 51670820700, which scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,908 residents. That is riskier than about 98% of US census tracts.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,117 a month while the average household earns $39,411 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 72% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 22% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,173
Renter share71.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate34.4%
Median income$39,411

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arlington
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Hopewell
High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Hopewell city
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hopewell and the region

Centroid at 37.2830, -77.2893 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hopewell
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
34.4% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,117 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hopewell
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hopewell
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hopewell
8.6

How Arlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arlington risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 820700Hopewell: 3.93.9Hopewellparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 668Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 18.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.3%Peak (2010)
  • 84Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 516708207002010: 147 filings (27.27/100 renter HHs)2011: 88 filings (15.12/100 renter HHs)2013: 128 filings (21.99/100 renter HHs)2014: 130 filings (22.34/100 renter HHs)2015: 91 filings (15.64/100 renter HHs)2016: 84 filings (11.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hopewell eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hopewell City County average of 7.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51670820700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51670820700?

Census tract 51670820700 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51670820700?

Median gross rent is $1,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51670820700?

34.4% of residents in tract 51670820700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,908.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51670820700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 87th, minority 84th, housing 33th.
Q5

Is tract 51670820700 considered part of Arlington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51670820700 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51670820700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 668 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51670820700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.98% of renter households, peaking at 27.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51670820700 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51670820700 compare to Hopewell overall?

Tract 51670820700 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Hopewell at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hopewell eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hopewell

Top eight tracts in Hopewell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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