Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Carters Eviction Risk: Lower , Loudoun Valley Estates
Tract 51107611901 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,859 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51107611901 sits in the Carters area of Loudoun Valley Estates, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,255
Renter share6.1%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Loudoun Valley Estates and the region
Centroid at 38.9706, -77.5002 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carters scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,939 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
2.1
How Carters compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.1%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 10.9%Frequent mental distress
- 16.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carters
The voucher gap is 27.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Disability prevalence runs 16.4% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 2.1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally. Cost burden runs 31% here against 37.5% across Loudoun County.
It sits 0.7 points below the Loudoun County average of 4.1. At $2,939 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Loudoun Valley Estates commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611901?
Census tract 51107611901 in the Carters neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611901?
Median gross rent is $2,939/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611901?
2.6% of residents in tract 51107611901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,859.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 7th, minority 79th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611901 considered part of Carters?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611901 fall within Carters (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107611901 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107611901 compare to Loudoun Valley Estates overall?
Tract 51107611901 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Loudoun Valley Estates at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Loudoun Valley Estates
Top eight tracts in Loudoun Valley Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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