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Neighborhood · Loudoun Valley Estates, VA

Carters Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,859 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Carters maps to a single census tract in Loudoun Valley Estates, VA, population 6,859. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

Against a Loudoun Valley Estates baseline of 20.4%, 31% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The voucher gap is 27.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.1/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 16.4% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. 4.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Average gross rent is $2,939, 9% below the Loudoun Valley Estates average of $3,242. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carters vs Loudoun Valley Estates How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.7% +50%
Loudoun Valley Estates: 20.4%
Average gross rent
$2,939 -9%
Loudoun Valley Estates: $3,242
Average HH income
$250,001 +9%
Loudoun Valley Estates: $229,126
Poverty rate
2.6% -3%
Loudoun Valley Estates: 2.7%
Renter share
6.1% -34%
Loudoun Valley Estates: 9.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carters and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Carters scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
6% renter households · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Economic stress
2.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Risk score comparison

Carters vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carters score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4CartersNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carters

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51107611901 3.4 6,859 31% $2,939
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 1

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 1%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 7%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 2%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carters

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Carters

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carters?

Carters scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carters compare to Loudoun Valley Estates overall?

Carters scores 0.3 points lower than Loudoun Valley Estates overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 20% citywide. Average rent: $2,939 vs $3,242.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carters?

Average gross rent in Carters is $2,939/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carters residents are renters?

6% of Carters households are renter-occupied (vs 9% in Loudoun Valley Estates). The neighborhood has 6,859 residents.
Q5

Is Carters a high social-vulnerability area?

Carters sits in the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carters for landlords?

Carters carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Loudoun Valley Estates as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carters?

Carters has 6,997 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (50.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (26.7%), Hispanic / Latino (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carters

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Loudoun Valley Estates

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carters.

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