Neighborhood · Loudoun Valley Estates, VA

Carters Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,859 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1/10 · range 1–1

Carters is a asian-white neighborhood in Loudoun Valley Estates with 1 census tract and a population of 6,859 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 31% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,939/month sits 9% lower than the Loudoun Valley Estates citywide average ($3,242).

Risk score

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Carters vs Loudoun Valley Estates How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

30.7% +50%

Loudoun Valley Estates: 20.4%

Average gross rent

$2,939 -9%

Loudoun Valley Estates: $3,242

Average HH income

$250,001 +9%

Loudoun Valley Estates: $229,126

Poverty rate

2.6% -3%

Loudoun Valley Estates: 2.7%

Renter share

6.1% -34%

Loudoun Valley Estates: 9.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carters and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1–1

Why Carters scores 1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Rent control risk

31% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

6% renter households · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts

2.1

Economic stress

2.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts

7.7

Risk score comparison

Carters vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Carters

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51107611901	1	6,859	31%	$2,939

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 1

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 1%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 7%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 2%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Carters

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.0%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility shutoff threat
7.1%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
4.6%No health insurance
16.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Carters

What is the eviction-risk score for Carters?

Carters scores 1/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Carters compare to Loudoun Valley Estates overall?

Carters scores 2.1 points lower than Loudoun Valley Estates overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 20% citywide. Average rent: $2,939 vs $3,242.

What is the average rent in Carters?

Average gross rent in Carters is $2,939/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Carters residents are renters?

6% of Carters households are renter-occupied (vs 9% in Loudoun Valley Estates). The neighborhood has 6,859 residents.

Is Carters a high social-vulnerability area?

Carters sits in the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Carters for landlords?

Carters carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Loudoun Valley Estates as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Carters?

Carters has 6,997 residents (Asian-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (50.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (26.7%), Hispanic / Latino (8.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carters

1 Summerfield 2 tracts · pop 20,062 1.5 Loudoun Station 2 tracts · pop 5,281 1 Avonlea 4 tracts · pop 24,744 1 Waxpool 2 tracts · pop 13,459 1.2 Eastgate 2 tracts · pop 15,032 1.1 The Grove at Willowsford 2 tracts · pop 15,645

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Loudoun Valley Estates

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carters.

1.6 Loudoun Station 2 tracts · pop 5,281

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