Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Loudoun Station Eviction Risk: Moderate , Loudoun Valley Estates
Tract 51107611032 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 2,961 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 51107611032 in the Loudoun Station area of Loudoun Valley Estates, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,961 residents. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Loudoun County average of 37.5%.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share78.6%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$97,308
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Loudoun Valley Estates and the region
Centroid at 38.9932, -77.4829 · click any tract to drill in
Why Loudoun Station scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,605 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
2.1
How Loudoun Station compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Loudoun Station. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.4%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 20.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Loudoun Station
This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $97,308 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.9/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Running cool, housing-court posture reads 2.1/10. Average gross rent is $2,605, 20% below the Loudoun Valley Estates average.
SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 12.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
It sits 0.7 points above the Loudoun County average of 4.1. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611032
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611032?
Census tract 51107611032 in the Loudoun Station neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611032?
Median gross rent is $2,605/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611032?
7.8% of residents in tract 51107611032 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,961.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611032?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 59th, minority 77th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611032 considered part of Loudoun Station?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611032 fall within Loudoun Station (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107611032 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107611032 compare to Loudoun Valley Estates overall?
Tract 51107611032 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Loudoun Valley Estates at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Loudoun Valley Estates
Top eight tracts in Loudoun Valley Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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