Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Waxpool Eviction Risk: Lower , Broadlands
Tract 51107611022 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 7,090 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51107611022 is a census tract in the Waxpool area of Broadlands, VA. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,110
Renter share23.0%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate0.1%
Median income$222,083
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broadlands and the region
Centroid at 39.0087, -77.5170 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waxpool scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Broadlands
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,725 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broadlands
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broadlands
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broadlands
2.5
How Waxpool compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 18Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2016)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waxpool. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.5%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waxpool
Running cool, housing-court posture reads 2.5/10. Food insecurity runs 7.5% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 17.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 18 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
Housing insecurity runs 6.7% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.0% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $222,083, annual rent is just 15%.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611022
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611022?
Census tract 51107611022 in the Waxpool neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611022?
Median gross rent is $2,725/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611022?
0.1% of residents in tract 51107611022 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,090.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611022?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 25th, minority 65th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611022 considered part of Waxpool?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611022 fall within Waxpool (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611022?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611022 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.98% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611022 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611022 compare to Broadlands overall?
Tract 51107611022 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Broadlands at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broadlands; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broadlands
Top eight tracts in Broadlands ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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