Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Waxpool Eviction Risk: Lower , Broadlands
Tract 51107611023 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,369 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 51107611023 in the Waxpool area of Broadlands, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,369 residents. Cost burden runs 19% here against 37.5% across Loudoun County.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,931
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$239,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broadlands and the region
Centroid at 39.0221, -77.5165 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waxpool scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Broadlands
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,192 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broadlands
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broadlands
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broadlands
2.5
How Waxpool compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2016)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waxpool. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waxpool
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.4% against 31.5% nationally. Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally.
On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 2.5/10. At $2,192 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Broadlands commands. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
Court records carry 4 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10.
Against average income of $239,750, annual rent is just 11%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611023
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611023?
Census tract 51107611023 in the Waxpool neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611023?
Median gross rent is $2,192/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611023?
2.3% of residents in tract 51107611023 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,369.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611023?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 13th, minority 52th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611023 considered part of Waxpool?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611023 fall within Waxpool (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611023?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611023 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.75% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611023 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611023 compare to Broadlands overall?
Tract 51107611023 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Broadlands at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broadlands; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broadlands
Top eight tracts in Broadlands ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related