Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Loudoun Station Eviction Risk: Moderate , Loudoun Valley Estates
Tract 51107611031 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 2,320 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 51107611031 in the Loudoun Station area of Moorefield, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,320 residents. 7% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Loudoun County average of 37.5%.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units980
Renter share34.3%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate0.2%
Median income$223,929
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Loudoun Valley Estates and the region
Centroid at 38.9983, -77.4927 · click any tract to drill in
Why Loudoun Station scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,372 rent vs county FMR
9.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates
2.3
How Loudoun Station compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 0
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Loudoun Station. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 16.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Loudoun Station
The voucher gap is 45.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.6/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.8% against 31.5% nationally.
Average gross rent is $3,372, 22% above the Moorefield average. Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611031
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611031?
Census tract 51107611031 in the Loudoun Station neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611031?
Median gross rent is $3,372/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611031?
0.2% of residents in tract 51107611031 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,320.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611031?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 3th, minority 64th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611031 considered part of Loudoun Station?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611031 fall within Loudoun Station (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107611031 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107611031 compare to Loudoun Valley Estates overall?
Tract 51107611031 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Loudoun Valley Estates at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Loudoun Valley Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Loudoun Valley Estates
Top eight tracts in Loudoun Valley Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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