Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Hynson Knolls Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manassas
Tract 51683910301 · Manassas city, VA · pop 4,645 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 51683910301 in the Hynson Knolls area of Manassas, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,645. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Manassas City average of 44.2%.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,733
Renter share42.3%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$100,434
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manassas and the region
Centroid at 38.7527, -77.4557 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hynson Knolls scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manassas
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,764 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manassas
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manassas
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manassas
5.0
How Hynson Knolls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.8%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 14.7%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hynson Knolls
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.6/10.
Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Manassas City average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,764, close to the Manassas average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $100,434.
42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51683910301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51683910301?
Census tract 51683910301 in the Hynson Knolls neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51683910301?
Median gross rent is $1,764/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51683910301?
3.8% of residents in tract 51683910301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,645.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51683910301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 63th, minority 74th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 51683910301 considered part of Hynson Knolls?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51683910301 fall within Hynson Knolls (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51683910301 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51683910301 compare to Manassas overall?
Tract 51683910301 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Manassas at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manassas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manassas
Top eight tracts in Manassas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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