Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
West Gate of Lomond Eviction Risk: Lower , Manassas
Tract 51683910202 · Manassas city, VA · pop 6,463 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 51683910202 sits in the West Gate of Lomond area of Manassas eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Population here is 6,463. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,142
Renter share17.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$123,582
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manassas and the region
Centroid at 38.7758, -77.4801 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Gate of Lomond scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manassas
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,952 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manassas
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manassas
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manassas
5.0
How West Gate of Lomond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.7%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Gate of Lomond
Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Manassas City average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,952, close to the Manassas average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $123,582.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51683910202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51683910202?
Census tract 51683910202 in the West Gate of Lomond neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51683910202?
Median gross rent is $1,952/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51683910202?
4.2% of residents in tract 51683910202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,463.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51683910202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 51th, minority 80th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 51683910202 considered part of West Gate of Lomond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51683910202 fall within West Gate of Lomond (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51683910202 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51683910202 compare to Manassas overall?
Tract 51683910202 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Manassas at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manassas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manassas
Top eight tracts in Manassas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related