Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
West Gate of Lomond Eviction Risk: Lower , Manassas
Tract 51683910202 · Manassas city, VA · pop 6,463 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Here is how census tract 51683910202, in the West Gate of Lomond area of Manassas eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 6,463. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,952 monthly, set against $123,582 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,142
Renter share17.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$123,582
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manassas and the region
Centroid at 38.7758, -77.4801 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Gate of Lomond scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manassas
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,952 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manassas
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manassas
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manassas
5.0
How West Gate of Lomond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.7%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Gate of Lomond
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manassas eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Manassas City County average of 5.0 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51683910202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51683910202?
Census tract 51683910202 in the West Gate of Lomond neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51683910202?
Median gross rent is $1,952/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51683910202?
4.2% of residents in tract 51683910202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,463.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51683910202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 51th, minority 80th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 51683910202 considered part of West Gate of Lomond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51683910202 fall within West Gate of Lomond (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51683910202 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51683910202 compare to Manassas overall?
Tract 51683910202 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Manassas at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manassas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manassas
Top eight tracts in Manassas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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