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Neighborhood · Martinsville, VA

Hilltop Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,955 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.6–5

Hilltop spans 2 census tracts of Martinsville, VA, population 5,955. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 24.6% citywide, putting Hilltop 20.2% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

SNAP participation is 33.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.6 to 5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

17.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 21%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. For a like-for-like read, Jones Creek and Fontaine score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $764, close to the Martinsville average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $37,442.

57% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Hilltop vs Martinsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.8% +82%
Martinsville: 24.6%
Average gross rent
$764 -5%
Martinsville: $808
Average HH income
$37,442 -12%
Martinsville: $42,434
Poverty rate
20.8% -5%
Martinsville: 21.8%
Renter share
57.0% +28%
Martinsville: 44.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hilltop and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.6–5

Why Hilltop scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
57% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
20.8% below poverty line · Range 3.8–6.3 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–4.2 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Hilltop vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Hilltop score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4HilltopNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Hilltop

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51690000100 5 3,264 53% $749
51690000300 3.6 2,691 35% $782
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 70%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hilltop

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Hilltop

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hilltop?

Hilltop scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Hilltop compare to Martinsville overall?

Hilltop scores 0.3 points higher than Martinsville overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $764 vs $808.
Q3

What is the average rent in Hilltop?

Average gross rent in Hilltop is $764/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Hilltop residents are renters?

57% of Hilltop households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Martinsville). The neighborhood has 5,955 residents.
Q5

Is Hilltop a high social-vulnerability area?

Hilltop sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Hilltop have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Hilltop is census tract 51690000100 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 5, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Hilltop for landlords?

Hilltop carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Martinsville as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Hilltop?

Hilltop has 5,856 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (43.3%), Hispanic / Latino (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Martinsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hilltop.

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