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Neighborhood · Martinsville, VA

Jones Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,113 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Jones Creek is a one-tract neighborhood of Martinsville, VA, population 2,113. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, Moderate tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Martinsville rate of 24.6%.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 48%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 33%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

26.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 31.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10.

Average gross rent is $694, 14% below the Martinsville average of $808. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Jones Creek vs Martinsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.9% +87%
Martinsville: 24.6%
Average gross rent
$694 -14%
Martinsville: $808
Average HH income
$19,859 -53%
Martinsville: $42,434
Poverty rate
47.5% +117%
Martinsville: 21.8%
Renter share
49.2% +10%
Martinsville: 44.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Jones Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Jones Creek scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
49% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
47.5% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Jones Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Jones Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5Jones CreekNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Jones Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51690000200 5.5 2,113 46% $694
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 92

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 99%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Jones Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Jones Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Jones Creek?

Jones Creek scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Jones Creek compare to Martinsville overall?

Jones Creek scores 1.4 points higher than Martinsville overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $694 vs $808.
Q3

What is the average rent in Jones Creek?

Average gross rent in Jones Creek is $694/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Jones Creek residents are renters?

49% of Jones Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Martinsville). The neighborhood has 2,113 residents.
Q5

Is Jones Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Jones Creek sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Jones Creek for landlords?

Jones Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Martinsville as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Jones Creek?

Jones Creek has 1,873 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (82.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (8.3%), Hispanic / Latino (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Jones Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Martinsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Jones Creek.

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