Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Jones Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Martinsville
Tract 51690000200 ·
Martinsville city, VA · pop 2,113 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
51690000200 is a census tract in the Jones Creek area of Martinsville, VA. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%Stable renters 27%Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units849
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate47.5%
Median income$19,859
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Jones Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 5 tracts In Martinsville
Very High
Within county
100th percentile
#1 of 5 tracts In Martinsville city
Very High
Within state
89th percentile
#251 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Martinsville and the region
Centroid at 36.6903, -79.8868 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jones Creek scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Martinsville
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
47.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$694 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Martinsville
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Martinsville
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Martinsville
6.5
How Jones Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
92%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
39%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
31.3%Housing insecurity
26.0%Utility-shutoff threat
44.2%Food insecurity
49.8%SNAP enrollment
22.4%Transit barriers
14.6%No health insurance
21.3%Frequent mental distress
50.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jones Creek
SNAP participation runs 49.8% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $19,859, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Housing insecurity runs 31.3% against 14.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 46% here against 38.9% across Martinsville City.
It sits 1.2 points above the Martinsville City average of 4.3. At $694 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Martinsville commands. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51690000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51690000200?
Census tract 51690000200 in the Jones Creek neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51690000200?
Median gross rent is $694/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51690000200?
47.5% of residents in tract 51690000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,113.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51690000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 99th, minority 93th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 51690000200 considered part of Jones Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51690000200 fall within Jones Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51690000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51690000200 compare to Martinsville overall?
Tract 51690000200 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Martinsville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Martinsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Martinsville
Top eight tracts in Martinsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.