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Middlesex County Virginia eviction risk map showing a 3.4/10 Low risk score, ranking 59th of 132 Virginia counties
County brief·Updated July 31, 2026

Middlesex County, Virginia Eviction Risk: Low

3 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Deltaville (3.8) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.

In 2026
Risk score
3.4
LOW

Ranked #59 of 132 VA counties

2k residents · 3 cities · 4 tracts

1976–2026 · pop-weighted from cities

Middlesex County eviction risk score history

Min1.6 Average2.2 Now3.4
10 5 1976 · score 1.6 1977 · score 1.6 1978 · score 1.6 1979 · score 1.6 1980 · score 1.6 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.6 1987 · score 1.6 1988 · score 1.6 1989 · score 1.6 1990 · score 1.6 1991 · score 1.7 1992 · score 1.7 1993 · score 1.7 1994 · score 1.7 1995 · score 1.7 1996 · score 1.7 1997 · score 1.7 1998 · score 1.7 1999 · score 1.7 2000 · score 1.7 2001 · score 1.8 2002 · score 1.9 2003 · score 1.9 2004 · score 1.8 2005 · score 1.9 2006 · score 1.9 2007 · score 1.9 2008 · score 2.4 2009 · score 2.6 2010 · score 2.7 2011 · score 2.7 2012 · score 2.6 2013 · score 2.6 2014 · score 2.6 2015 · score 2.6 2016 · score 2.6 2017 · score 2.7 2018 · score 2.7 2019 · score 2.7 2020 · score 4.4 2021 · score 4.6 2022 · score 3.7 2023 · score 3.4 2024 · score 3.5 2025 · score 3.4 2026 · score 3.4

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Middlesex County's 3.4/10 average reflects a Low risk environment with community scores ranging from 3.1 to 3.8. The narrow spread indicates consistent conditions across Deltaville, Saluda, and Urbanna rather than pockets of significantly elevated risk. At 59th of 132 Virginia counties, Middlesex sits in the middle of the state - ahead of 73 counties but behind 58 with higher risk scores.

How Middlesex County ranks in Virginia

Lower number means more extreme, where #1 is the most
Eviction Risk Score
Elevated
#59 of 132 VA counties 3.4 / 10
Eviction Risk Score, 56th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 132 counties in Virginia for landlord eviction risk.
Cost of living
Elevated
#16 of 51 states (statewide) 101.1 index
Cost of living, 70th percentileLowHigh
Virginia ranks #16 of 51 states on overall cost of living (1.1% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Housing services cost
Elevated
#17 of 51 states (statewide) 106.8 index
Housing services cost, 68th percentileLowHigh
Virginia ranks #17 of 51 states on housing services (6.8% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Income spent on rent
Very High
#2 of 132 VA counties 45.7% of income
Income spent on rent, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 132 counties in Virginia on % of income spent on rent.

Landlord guides for Virginia

State-specific playbooks
Virginia Eviction Costs →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Virginia Eviction Process →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Virginia Rent Control →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Virginia Tenant Screening →
Five-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Virginia Tenant Protections →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry
Cities in Middlesex County
Sorted by Eviction Risk Score · highest first
Map view
CityPopulationRisk% income on rentAverage rentLean
001 Deltaville Pop 958 · 64.9% income · $1,145 rent · Rep 958 3.8 64.9% $1,145 Rep
002 Saluda Pop 615 · 36.1% income · $967 rent · Rep 615 3.1 36.1% $967 Rep
003 Urbanna Pop 495 · 36.1% income · $967 rent · Rep 495 3.1 36.1% $967 Rep

County heatmap

Geographic distribution
Local landlord context

One county, multiple regulatory regimes.

Middlesex County sits along Virginia eviction laws's Middle Peninsula between the Rappahannock River and the Chesapeake eviction risk Bay - a rural, water-oriented community where renters account for only about 24.3% of occupied housing units. That small renter share shapes the local market in important ways: rental inventory is tight, with few large apartment complexes and most units found in single-family homes or small multi-unit properties scattered across unincorporated areas, Saluda (the county seat), Deltaville, and Urbanna. The county carries an overall eviction risk score of 3.4/10 (Low), placing it 59th out of 132 Virginia counties - a middle position in the state, with 58 counties carrying higher risk and 73 sitting lower.

The three tracked communities in Middlesex each land in a narrow band, but not identically. Deltaville - the county's largest community by renter population at 958 residents - scores 3.8/10, the highest point in the county. Deltaville's waterfront character and seasonal rental market contribute modest upward pressure on displacement risk relative to its neighbors. Saluda, where county government and most retail services are concentrated, scores 3.1/10 - the lower end of the county's range. Urbanna, a small historic port town with a strong tourism draw and a characteristically tight housing stock, also scores 3.1/10. Across all three communities, scores span from 3.1 to 3.8 - a tight spread that reflects the county's overall consistency. The county's average of 3.4/10 sits close to the 3.8 statewide figure, meaning Middlesex tracks broadly with Virginia as a whole rather than standing as an outlier in either direction.

What drives risk in Middlesex is less about aggressive landlord behavior or a hot speculative rental market and more about the structural economics of rural coastal Virginia. The average asking rent of $1,049/month sounds moderate in absolute terms, but renters here face a 49.4% rent burden - meaning the typical renter household spends nearly half its gross income on housing costs. At that level of cost pressure, a single missed paycheck, a medical bill, or a seasonal dip in work hours can turn a normally stable tenancy into a nonpayment situation quickly. Virginia law (Va. Code § 55.1-1245) gives renters only a 5-day notice period once a landlord files for nonpayment - one of the shorter windows in the Mid-Atlantic region. The poverty rate of 11.7% adds further context: a meaningful share of the renter population has very little financial cushion. That combination - high rent burden, thin margins, short notice periods - is what keeps this county's risk score out of the single digits even in a market with relatively few large institutional landlords.

Middlesex County's Low risk designation reflects a rural market where renter households are a small minority (24.3%) but face significant cost pressure - a 49.4% rent burden against an average rent of $1,049/month. Virginia eviction laws's statewide landlord-tenant framework (Va. Code § 55.1-1200 et seq.) applies uniformly here: no local rent control is permitted under state preemption, no just-cause eviction requirement exists, and source-of-income discrimination is not prohibited under state law. Court filing costs run $58 to $90, and an uncontested eviction typically resolves in 21 to 45 days once filed.

Eviction filings in Virginia

Eviction Lab Tracking System · statewide · live through 2026-05-01

The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Virginia statewide (no county-level tracker available for Middlesex County). In the past month, 10,534 statewide filings were recorded, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline).

Virginia statewide, last 36 months 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Virginia statewide eviction filings (Eviction Lab)2023-05-01: 11,279 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 11,871 filings (1.01× hist)2023-07-01: 11,681 filings (1.01× hist)2023-08-01: 11,916 filings (1.00× hist)2023-09-01: 11,466 filings (1.00× hist)2023-10-01: 12,415 filings (1.00× hist)2023-11-01: 10,388 filings (0.96× hist)2023-12-01: 11,234 filings (1.04× hist)2024-01-01: 12,658 filings (1.00× hist)2024-02-01: 12,400 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 10,487 filings (0.95× hist)2024-04-01: 10,082 filings (1.02× hist)2024-05-01: 11,419 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 11,744 filings (1.00× hist)2024-07-01: 11,546 filings (0.99× hist)2024-08-01: 11,845 filings (1.00× hist)2024-09-01: 11,560 filings (1.00× hist)2024-10-01: 12,537 filings (1.01× hist)2024-11-01: 11,255 filings (1.04× hist)2024-12-01: 10,429 filings (0.96× hist)2025-01-01: 14,590 filings (1.15× hist)2025-02-01: 10,161 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 11,563 filings (1.04× hist)2025-04-01: 10,358 filings (1.05× hist)2025-05-01: 11,904 filings (1.05× hist)2025-06-01: 10,882 filings (0.92× hist)2025-07-01: 13,152 filings (1.13× hist)2025-08-01: 11,685 filings (0.98× hist)2025-09-01: 11,970 filings (1.04× hist)2025-10-01: 12,965 filings (1.04× hist)2025-11-01: 10,193 filings (0.94× hist)2025-12-01: 10,630 filings (0.98× hist)2026-01-01: 12,943 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 11,303 filings (1.01× hist)2026-03-01: 11,712 filings (1.06× hist)2026-04-01: 10,534 filings (1.07× hist)
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $36.
1

Eviction filings in Middlesex County

In September 2025, 6 eviction filings were recorded in Middlesex County, 163.5% of the historical average (well above average).2

Last 24 months of filings 2023-07 – 2025-09
Monthly eviction filings in Middlesex County (LSC CCDI)2023-07: 6 filings (150.0% of avg)2023-08: 5 filings (166.7% of avg)2023-09: 9 filings (245.2% of avg)2023-10: 4 filings (114.3% of avg)2023-11: 3 filings (85.7% of avg)2023-12: 4 filings (160.0% of avg)2024-01: 9 filings (200.0% of avg)2024-02: 1 filings (28.6% of avg)2024-03: 1 filings (30.8% of avg)2024-04: 5 filings (83.3% of avg)2024-05: 2 filings (57.1% of avg)2024-06: 1 filings (33.3% of avg)2024-08: 1 filings (33.3% of avg)2024-10: 3 filings (85.7% of avg)2024-11: 8 filings (228.6% of avg)2024-12: 2 filings (80.0% of avg)2025-01: 3 filings (66.7% of avg)2025-02: 2 filings (57.1% of avg)2025-03: 5 filings (153.9% of avg)2025-05: 4 filings (114.3% of avg)2025-06: 4 filings (133.3% of avg)2025-07: 2 filings (50.0% of avg)2025-08: 1 filings (33.3% of avg)2025-09: 6 filings (163.5% of avg)

Historical eviction filings in Middlesex County

From 2010 to 2016, eviction filings in Middlesex County declined 22%. The peak was 80 filings in 2012.3

Annual filings 2010–2016 No filing data published after 2018
Annual eviction filings in Middlesex County 2000-2018 (Eviction Lab)2010: 49 filings2011: 44 filings2012: 80 filings2013: 43 filings2014: 47 filings2015: 55 filings2016: 38 filings

Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.

How Middlesex County compares

Middlesex County's 3.4/10 tracks closely with Virginia's statewide average (3.8/10) and sits at a similar level to nearby rural Middle Peninsula and Northern Neck peers. Essex County to the north, Mathews County to the south, and Grayson, Dickenson, and Charlotte counties in other parts of Virginia all carry comparable risk profiles - none meaningfully higher or lower by the county-level measure. Where Middlesex distinguishes itself slightly is in its high rent burden (49.4%) relative to its modest rent level ($1,049), a ratio that reflects the income constraints of a rural coastal economy more than the speculative pressure seen in higher-scoring Northern Virginia or Hampton eviction risk Roads markets.

Peer counties in Virginia

Same state, closest by population and Eviction Risk Score
Peer county
Essex County eviction risk
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 1.9K
Peer county
Grayson County eviction risk
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 2.3K
Peer county
Mathews County eviction risk
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 1.5K
Peer county
Dickenson County eviction risk
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 2.2K

Where eviction risk concentrates in Middlesex County

Top cities + top neighborhoods · click any card for the full breakdown

Top cities by population

Frequently asked

Frequently asked questions about Middlesex County

Q1

How many renters live in Middlesex County?

Renter share is 24.3%, so approximately 503 of Middlesex County's 2,068 residents are renters.
Q2

What is the lowest-risk city in Middlesex County?

The lowest score in Middlesex County is 3.1/10. See the city grid above for the specific municipality.
Q3

What is the highest-risk city in Middlesex County?

The highest score in Middlesex County is 3.8/10. See the city grid above for the specific municipality.