Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Farmview Eviction Risk: Moderate , Merrimac
Tract 51121020202 · Montgomery County, VA · pop 2,871 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 51121020202 in the Farmview area of Merrimac, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,871. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,541
Renter share73.1%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$50,050
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Merrimac and the region
Centroid at 37.1949, -80.4220 · click any tract to drill in
Why Farmview scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Merrimac
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,101 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Merrimac
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Merrimac
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Merrimac
5.0
How Farmview compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.8%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Farmview
This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.
SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 5.1 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51121020202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020202?
Census tract 51121020202 in the Farmview neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51121020202?
Median gross rent is $1,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020202?
15.8% of residents in tract 51121020202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,871.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 63th, minority 30th, housing 100th.
Q5
Is tract 51121020202 considered part of Farmview?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020202 fall within Farmview (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51121020202 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51121020202 compare to Merrimac overall?
Tract 51121020202 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Merrimac at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Merrimac; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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