Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Richneck Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700032131 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,710 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51700032131 in the Richneck area of Newport News, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,807
Renter share18.3%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$99,944
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1599, -76.5140 · click any tract to drill in
Why Richneck scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,569 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Richneck compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 263Total filings over 5 yrs
- 19.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.1%Peak (2012)
- 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Richneck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Richneck
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Newport News City average of 49.3%.
At $1,569 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Newport News commands. The filing record is not thin: 263 evictions over 5 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 22.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 19.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032131
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032131?
Census tract 51700032131 in the Richneck neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032131?
Median gross rent is $1,569/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032131?
4.0% of residents in tract 51700032131 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,710.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032131?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 62th, minority 74th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032131 considered part of Richneck?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032131 fall within Richneck (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032131?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 263 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032131 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.47% of renter households, peaking at 22.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032131 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032131 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032131 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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