Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Fox Hall Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710005903 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,473 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51710005903 covers the Fox Hall Park area of Norfolk, home to 1,473 residents. For landlords it grades 4.9/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,066 a month while the average household earns $68,293 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units596
Renter share41.9%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$68,293
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8780, -76.2225 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fox Hall Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,066 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Fox Hall Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 220Total filings over 2 yrs
- 43.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 51.1%Peak (2011)
- 100Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 36.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fox Hall Park
What moves this score most is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710005903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710005903?
Census tract 51710005903 in the Fox Hall Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710005903?
Median gross rent is $1,066/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710005903?
12.5% of residents in tract 51710005903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,473.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710005903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 92th, minority 76th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 51710005903 considered part of Fox Hall Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710005903 fall within Fox Hall Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710005903?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 220 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710005903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.45% of renter households, peaking at 51.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710005903 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710005903 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710005903 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710005903 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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