Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Lafayette Annex Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710003200 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,795 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.2/10 for census tract 51710003200 reflects conditions in the Lafayette Annex area of Norfolk, Virginia. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,479 monthly, set against $60,515 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,055
Renter share26.9%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$60,515
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8715, -76.2613 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lafayette Annex scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,479 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Lafayette Annex compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 99%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 207Total filings over 2 yrs
- 24.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.1%Peak (2011)
- 102Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.4%Food insecurity
- 19.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 34.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lafayette Annex
The heaviest input here is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 207 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 24.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.1% of renter households in 2011.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710003200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710003200?
Census tract 51710003200 in the Lafayette Annex neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710003200?
Median gross rent is $1,479/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710003200?
12.2% of residents in tract 51710003200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,795.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710003200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 48th, minority 79th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 51710003200 considered part of Lafayette Annex?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710003200 fall within Lafayette Annex (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710003200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710003200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.50% of renter households, peaking at 27.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710003200 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710003200 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710003200 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710003200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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