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Neighborhood · Petersburg, VA

Lakemont Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,471 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 7.3–7.3

Lakemont is a one-tract neighborhood of Petersburg, VA and houses 2,471 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. 55% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Against a Petersburg baseline of 30.7%, 64% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. 33.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Set annual rent against average household income of $20,179 and the ratio lands at 52%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 52%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation is 63.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1/10.

This is a renter market: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $872, 26% below the Petersburg average of $1,174. The filing record is not thin: 1,055 evictions logged in this tract.

Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 25.4% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 27.1% in 2016 against a 25.4% peak.

That places it #1 of 10 neighborhoods in Petersburg.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lakemont vs Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.6% +107%
Petersburg: 30.7%
Average gross rent
$872 -26%
Petersburg: $1,174
Average HH income
$20,179 -60%
Petersburg: $50,741
Poverty rate
51.8% +146%
Petersburg: 21.1%
Renter share
66.4% +8%
Petersburg: 61.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakemont and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.3–7.3

Why Lakemont scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Economic stress
51.8% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Lakemont vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lakemont score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3LakemontNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lakemont

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51730810100 7.3 2,471 64% $872
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 99%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 95%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lakemont

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,055Total filings (sum)
  • 21.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.4%Peak year (2013)
  • 27.11%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lakemont

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lakemont

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lakemont?

Lakemont scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lakemont compare to Petersburg overall?

Lakemont scores 1.4 points higher than Petersburg overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $872 vs $1,174.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lakemont?

Average gross rent in Lakemont is $872/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lakemont residents are renters?

66% of Lakemont households are renter-occupied (vs 61% in Petersburg). The neighborhood has 2,471 residents.
Q5

Is Lakemont a high social-vulnerability area?

Lakemont sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lakemont for landlords?

Lakemont carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Petersburg as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lakemont?

Lakemont has 2,413 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (95.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.1%), Other / Multiracial (0.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lakemont

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lakemont.

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