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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Lakemont Eviction Risk: Elevated , Petersburg

Tract 51730810100 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 2,471 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 51730810100 covers Lakemont in Petersburg, home to 2,471 residents. For landlords it grades 7.7/10, an elevated reading. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 64% of renter households, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $872 a month against an average household income of $20,179 a year, roughly 52% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 24% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units827
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate51.8%
Median income$20,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lakemont
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Petersburg
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Petersburg city
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2268, -77.3769 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakemont scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
51.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3

How Lakemont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakemont risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 810100Petersburg: 4.24.2Petersburgparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,055Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 21.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.4%Peak (2013)
  • 170Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517308101002010: 142 filings (19.75/100 renter HHs)2011: 120 filings (17.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 133 filings (18.84/100 renter HHs)2013: 179 filings (25.35/100 renter HHs)2014: 139 filings (19.69/100 renter HHs)2015: 172 filings (24.36/100 renter HHs)2016: 170 filings (27.11/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakemont

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Petersburg City County average of 7.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,055 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 21.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 25.4% of renter households in 2013.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51730810100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810100?

Census tract 51730810100 in the Lakemont neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51730810100?

Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810100?

51.8% of residents in tract 51730810100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,471.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 51730810100 considered part of Lakemont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730810100 fall within Lakemont (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,055 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730810100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.73% of renter households, peaking at 25.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51730810100 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 33.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51730810100 compare to Petersburg overall?

Tract 51730810100 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg

Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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