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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Lakemont Eviction Risk: Elevated , Petersburg

Tract 51730810100 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 2,471 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 51730810100 covers part of the Lakemont area of Petersburg, VA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,471. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 24% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units827
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate51.8%
Median income$20,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lakemont
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Petersburg
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Petersburg city
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2268, -77.3769 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakemont scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
51.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3

How Lakemont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakemont risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 8101005.9Petersburgparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,055Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 21.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.4%Peak (2013)
  • 170Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51730810100
Filings climbed 20% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakemont

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Annualized rent equals 52% of average household income of $20,179, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 33.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 52%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.9/10. Disability prevalence runs 54.7% against 31.5% nationally. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Petersburg City average of 48.7%.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

At $872 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Petersburg commands. Against the Petersburg City average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51730810100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810100?

Census tract 51730810100 in the Lakemont neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51730810100?

Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810100?

51.8% of residents in tract 51730810100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,471.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 51730810100 considered part of Lakemont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730810100 fall within Lakemont (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,055 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730810100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.73% of renter households, peaking at 25.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51730810100 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 33.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51730810100 compare to Petersburg overall?

Tract 51730810100 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg

Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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