Lakemont Eviction Risk: Elevated , Petersburg
Tract 51730810100 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 2,471 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 51730810100 covers part of the Lakemont area of Petersburg, VA, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,471. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 37.2268, -77.3769 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakemont scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lakemont compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,055Total filings over 7 yrs
- 21.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.4%Peak (2013)
- 170Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.3%Housing insecurity
- 33.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 55.5%Food insecurity
- 63.7%SNAP enrollment
- 29.1%Transit barriers
- 18.7%No health insurance
- 25.5%Frequent mental distress
- 54.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lakemont
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Annualized rent equals 52% of average household income of $20,179, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 33.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 52%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.9/10. Disability prevalence runs 54.7% against 31.5% nationally. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Petersburg City average of 48.7%.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
At $872 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Petersburg commands. Against the Petersburg City average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51730810100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810100?
What is the average rent in tract 51730810100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810100?
Is tract 51730810100 considered part of Lakemont?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810100?
What share of households in tract 51730810100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51730810100 compare to Petersburg overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg
Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.