Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Yorkshire Village Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51153901900 · Prince William County, VA · pop 7,729 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Here is how census tract 51153901900, in the Yorkshire Village area of Yorkshire, looks to a landlord: a 5.3/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 7,729. On the national scale it ranks #44,004 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 34% of renter households, a high level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,711 a month while the average household earns $104,599 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,351
Renter share50.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$104,599
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Yorkshire and the region
Centroid at 38.7873, -77.4479 · click any tract to drill in
Why Yorkshire Village scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Yorkshire
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,711 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Yorkshire
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Yorkshire
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Yorkshire
3.2
How Yorkshire Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 172Total filings over 1 yrs
- 16.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.8%Peak (2016)
- 172Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.0%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 15.9%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Yorkshire Village
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Yorkshire, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince William County average of 5.7 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 172 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 16.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.8% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51153901900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901900?
Census tract 51153901900 in the Yorkshire Village neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51153901900?
Median gross rent is $1,711/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901900?
6.8% of residents in tract 51153901900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,729.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 75th, minority 84th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 51153901900 considered part of Yorkshire Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51153901900 fall within Yorkshire Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 172 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51153901900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.78% of renter households, peaking at 16.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51153901900 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51153901900 compare to Yorkshire overall?
Tract 51153901900 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Yorkshire at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Yorkshire; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Yorkshire
Top eight tracts in Yorkshire ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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