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Neighborhood · Roanoke, VA

Shadeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,401 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Shadeland maps to a single census tract in Roanoke, VA and houses 3,401 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $534, 46% below the Roanoke average of $996.

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 44%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation is 42.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Roanoke rate of 28.4%. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1/10. Food insecurity affects 39.5% of adults, 21.7 points above the national rate. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 11%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. That places it #1 of 23 neighborhoods in Roanoke.

For a like-for-like read, Brentwood and Westwood score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Shadeland vs Roanoke How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.8% +44%
Roanoke: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$534 -46%
Roanoke: $996
Average HH income
$41,781 -21%
Roanoke: $52,671
Poverty rate
44.4% +126%
Roanoke: 19.7%
Renter share
82.5% +73%
Roanoke: 47.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shadeland and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Shadeland scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
83% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
44.4% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Shadeland vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shadeland score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4ShadelandNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Shadeland

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51770002502 5.4 3,401 41% $534
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shadeland

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Shadeland

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shadeland?

Shadeland scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shadeland compare to Roanoke overall?

Shadeland scores 1.4 points higher than Roanoke overall (4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $534 vs $996.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shadeland?

Average gross rent in Shadeland is $534/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shadeland residents are renters?

83% of Shadeland households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Roanoke). The neighborhood has 3,401 residents.
Q5

Is Shadeland a high social-vulnerability area?

Shadeland sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Shadeland for landlords?

Shadeland carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Roanoke as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Shadeland?

Shadeland has 3,393 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (76.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.9%), Other / Multiracial (7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shadeland

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Roanoke

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shadeland.

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