Stafford County, Virginia Eviction Risk: Low
7 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Aquia Harbour (3.7) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #82 of 132 VA counties
25k residents · 7 cities · 32 tracts
Stafford County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord28.7%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Stafford County, VA, tenants prevail in roughly 28.7% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline54dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Stafford County, VA until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 54 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$2.0–5.7klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Stafford County, VA costs landlords $2,005 to $5,745 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$2,12935% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Stafford County, VA is $2,129 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 35% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters37.3%of households37.3% of occupied housing units in Stafford County, VA are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty12.2%3.0% unemp.12.2% of Stafford County, VA residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 3.0%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Stafford County averages 5.2/10 across its 7 cities, spanning a range of 4.4 to 5.8, with Southern Gateway anchoring the high end at 5.8/10. Ranked 38th of 132 Virginia counties by eviction risk, placing Stafford in the state's higher-risk tier.
How Stafford County ranks in Virginia
Landlord guides for Virginia
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Aquia Harbour | 7,481 | 3.3 | 27.7% | $2,549 | IND |
| 002 | Stafford Courthouse | 5,839 | 3.0 | 22.8% | $2,130 | IND |
| 003 | Falmouth | 5,216 | 3.7 | 36.5% | $1,873 | IND |
| 004 | Southern Gateway | 2,771 | 3.6 | 29.1% | $2,073 | IND |
| 005 | Camp Barrett | 1,681 | 3.0 | 100.0% | $1,980 | IND |
| 006 | Boswell's Corner | 1,239 | 3.2 | 51.0% | $1,475 | IND |
| 007 | Quantico | 578 | 3.5 | 23.4% | $1,086 | IND |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Stafford County
Top 2 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Stafford County scores 3.3/10 (Moderate) for eviction risk, placing it in the higher-risk third of Virginia eviction laws: 37 of the state's 132 counties carry more risk, and 94 are considered less risky or more landlord-friendly. For investors evaluating a Northern Virginia suburban market, that middle-of-the-pack label still deserves scrutiny. An average rent of $2,129 and a rent burden sitting at 34.5% of income suggest a tenant base that has limited financial cushion when income disruptions hit, which in practice elevates the probability of late or missed rent.
The county's renter share stands at 37.3% across a measured population of 24,805, spread over 7 distinct communities. What the county average conceals is a meaningful spread: individual city scores range from 4.4 to 5.8, a 1.4-point gap that can be the difference between a well-performing portfolio and one with chronic collection problems. The specific community you choose inside Stafford County matters more than the county headline.
The cities inside Stafford County
The highest eviction risk in Stafford County is concentrated in Southern Gateway (5.8/10, population 2,771) and Stafford Courthouse (5.6/10, population 5,839). Both sit measurably above the county average. Quantico (5.5/10) and Boswell's Corner (5.3/10) follow in the elevated tier. These four communities account for a substantial portion of the county's renter households, so landlords with holdings in any of them should underwrite with tighter vacancy and collection assumptions.
The lower end of the county's risk spectrum is held by Camp Barrett (4.4/10, population 1,681) and Aquia Harbour (4.8/10, population 7,481). Falmouth (5/10, population 5,216) lands squarely at the county midpoint. Risk is genuinely hyper-local here: a portfolio centered on Aquia Harbour or Camp Barrett operates under materially different conditions than one concentrated in Stafford Courthouse or Southern Gateway, even though all sit within the same county lines.
State-level laws that apply here
Virginia eviction laws state law governs every landlord-tenant relationship in Stafford County. Under the Virginia eviction laws eviction process, a landlord must serve a 5-day notice for nonpayment of rent, a 21-day cure-or-quit notice for a material lease violation, and a 30-day notice for a non-curable material breach or to end a month-to-month tenancy. Once a notice period expires and the tenant does not comply, an uncontested eviction typically resolves in 21 to 45 days; a contested case can run 45 to 120 days. Virginia requires 24 hours notice before a landlord may enter an occupied unit.
Virginia eviction costs stack up across three line items: court filing fees of $58 to $90, sheriff lockout fees of $40 to $150, and attorney fees that typically range from $500 to $3,000 depending on complexity. Virginia eviction costs are therefore not trivial even in straightforward cases. On the regulatory side, Virginia imposes no just-cause eviction requirement and has a state-level preemption that bars localities from enacting rent control, both of which are meaningful advantages for landlords operating in Stafford County. Source-of-income is not a protected class under Virginia fair housing law as reviewed through May 2026.
With a poverty rate of 12.2% and roughly 37.3% of residents renting, the financial profile of Stafford County's tenant pool sits in moderate-risk territory; the city breakdown grid above is the most reliable tool for identifying which specific communities within the county carry the most and least exposure.
Eviction filings in Virginia
The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Virginia statewide (no county-level tracker available for Stafford County). In the past month, 10,534 statewide filings were recorded, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline).
- 10,534Past month (state)
- 139,873Past 12 months
- 1.02×vs baseline (12 mo)
Eviction filings in Stafford County
In September 2025, 123 eviction filings were recorded in Stafford County, 98.0% of the historical average (near average).2
- 123Sep 2025
- 98.0%of historical avg
- 9,837Renter households
- 5.1%Poverty rate
Historical eviction filings in Stafford County
From 2010 to 2016, eviction filings in Stafford County declined 25%. The peak was 1,846 filings in 2010.3
- 1,8462010
- 1,846Peak (2010)
- 1,3792016
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Stafford County compares
Stafford County's average eviction-risk score of 5.2/10 is statistically close to its peer jurisdictions: Culpeper County (5.3/10), Waynesboro city (5.27/10), Salem city (5.2/10), Staunton city (5.19/10), and Colonial Heights city (5.1/10). The spread across peers is narrow, under 0.2 points, suggesting these markets share a similar structural risk profile driven by comparable rent burdens and renter-share levels.
Within Virginia's 132 counties and independent cities, Stafford County ranks 38th, placing it in the higher-risk third of the state: 37 jurisdictions carry greater risk, while 94 are less risky and more landlord-favorable by this model's measure.