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Neighborhood · Aquia Harbour, VA

Aquia Town Center Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,532 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.8–5

Aquia Town Center is a 2-tract neighborhood of Aquia Harbour, VA and houses 9,532 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Aquia Harbour rate of 27.7%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.4/10. At $1,807 a month, rents sit 29% under what the rest of Aquia Harbour commands. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.8 to 5. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.

Court records carry 305 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 22.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 12.7% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Against average income of $109,333, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Aquia Town Center vs Aquia Harbour How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.5% +61%
Aquia Harbour: 27.7%
Average gross rent
$1,807 -29%
Aquia Harbour: $2,549
Average HH income
$109,333 -28%
Aquia Harbour: $152,776
Poverty rate
5.3% +28%
Aquia Harbour: 4.2%
Renter share
38.6% +551%
Aquia Harbour: 5.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aquia Town Center and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.8–5

Why Aquia Town Center scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2–5.6 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 3.2–4.7 across tracts
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–5.0 across tracts
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 2.5–4.0 across tracts
3.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Economic stress
5.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.8 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–3.1 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Aquia Town Center vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Aquia Town Center score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4Aquia Town CenterNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Aquia Town Center

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51179010211 5 4,715 41% $1,737
51179010103 3.8 4,817 48% $1,875
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 48

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 36%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 58%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Aquia Town Center

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 305Total filings (sum)
  • 15.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.2%Peak year (2015)
  • 12.68%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Aquia Town Center

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Aquia Town Center

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Aquia Town Center?

Aquia Town Center scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Aquia Town Center compare to Aquia Harbour overall?

Aquia Town Center scores 0.8 points higher than Aquia Harbour overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,807 vs $2,549.
Q3

What is the average rent in Aquia Town Center?

Average gross rent in Aquia Town Center is $1,807/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Aquia Town Center residents are renters?

39% of Aquia Town Center households are renter-occupied (vs 6% in Aquia Harbour). The neighborhood has 9,532 residents.
Q5

Is Aquia Town Center a high social-vulnerability area?

Aquia Town Center sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Aquia Town Center have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Aquia Town Center is census tract 51179010211 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 5, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Aquia Town Center for landlords?

Aquia Town Center carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aquia Harbour as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Aquia Town Center?

Aquia Town Center has 9,622 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (31.4%), Hispanic / Latino (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Aquia Town Center

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aquia Harbour

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Aquia Town Center.

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