Skip to content
Aquia Harbour, Virginia eviction risk overview
City brief · 7,481 residents

Aquia Harbour, VA Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Stafford County · Population 7,481

In 2026
Risk score
4.8
MODERATE

67th percentile, Virginia.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average2.3 Now4.8
10 5 1976 · score 1.5 1977 · score 1.5 1978 · score 1.5 1979 · score 1.5 1980 · score 1.5 1981 · score 1.5 1982 · score 1.5 1983 · score 1.4 1984 · score 1.4 1985 · score 1.4 1986 · score 1.4 1987 · score 1.5 1988 · score 1.5 1989 · score 1.5 1990 · score 1.6 1991 · score 1.6 1992 · score 1.7 1993 · score 1.7 1994 · score 1.7 1995 · score 1.7 1996 · score 1.8 1997 · score 1.9 1998 · score 1.9 1999 · score 1.9 2000 · score 1.6 2001 · score 1.7 2002 · score 1.8 2003 · score 1.8 2004 · score 1.8 2005 · score 1.9 2006 · score 1.9 2007 · score 1.9 2008 · score 2.6 2009 · score 2.7 2010 · score 2.8 2011 · score 2.8 2012 · score 2.7 2013 · score 2.8 2014 · score 2.9 2015 · score 2.9 2016 · score 3.1 2017 · score 3.2 2018 · score 3.3 2019 · score 3.5 2020 · score 4.2 2021 · score 4.2 2022 · score 4.2 2023 · score 4.2 2024 · score 4.1 2025 · score 5.4 2026 · score 4.8

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.6 Regional 5.6 State 3.2 Economic 3.8 Supply 6.2 Rent Control 4.7 Eviction 3.3 Tenant 2.5 Housing 3.7 4.8 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +0.8% (2024)
    5.6
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.6
  3. State political climate
    Virginia legislature & governorship
    3.2
  4. Economic stress
    4.2% poverty · 2.8% unemp.
    3.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,549 average · 5.9% renters
    6.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    27.7% of income on rent
    4.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    52 days filing → judgment
    3.3
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    5.9% renters
    2.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aquia Harbour and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Aquia Harbour compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Stafford County
Very Low
#6 of 7 cities
Rank in county, 17th percentileBottomTop
#6 of 7 cities in Stafford County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Virginia
Elevated
#223 of 683 cities
Rank in state, 67th percentileBottomTop
#223 of 683 cities in Virginia for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Aquia Harbour risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Aquia Harbour: 4.84.8Aquia HarbourThis cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.8
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.8/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 52d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,549/mo. A contested eviction takes 52 days and costs $1,946-$6,127 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 5.9%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 7,481 residents, 5.9% rent. 28% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 4.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.6 and 5.6 (Dem margin +0.8% (2024)). State climate at 3.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 3.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 3.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 3.3, housing court bias 3.7, rent-control risk 4.7. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-1.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.8. Supply constraint: 6.2. The numbers behind those: 4.2% poverty, 2.8% unemployment, 28% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Aquia Harbour sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Arlington, VA · 57d · ~$4.2k all-in ($73/day) · score 5 Arlington Alexandria, VA · 58d · ~$3.7k all-in ($65/day) · score 6 Alexandria Centreville, VA · 51d · ~$3.6k all-in ($70/day) · score 4.9 Centreville Dale City, VA · 49d · ~$3.8k all-in ($78/day) · score 4.7 Dale City Reston, VA · 50d · ~$3.8k all-in ($76/day) · score 5 Reston Virginia Beach, VA · 50d · ~$3.9k all-in ($79/day) · score 4.8 Virginia Beach Chesapeake, VA · 54d · ~$3.9k all-in ($72/day) · score 4.5 Chesapeake Norfolk, VA · 53d · ~$3.7k all-in ($70/day) · score 5.9 Norfolk Richmond, VA · 55d · ~$3.5k all-in ($64/day) · score 6.3 Richmond Newport News, VA · 52d · ~$4.1k all-in ($79/day) · score 5.3 Newport News Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Aquia Harbour
Aquia Harbour · 52d · ~$4.0k all-in ($78/day) · score 4.8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Aquia Harbour, VA

Landlording in Aquia Harbour, Virginia, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Aquia Harbour is a city of 7,481 residents where 5.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 27.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,549/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Aquia Harbour eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 3.3/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Aquia Harbour closes 52 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Aquia Harbour's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Aquia Harbour runs $1,946 to $6,127 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 52 days of typical timeline and $2,549/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.5/10 in Aquia Harbour, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Virginia, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Aquia Harbour: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Virginia's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $6,127 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Aquia Harbour

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 52 days and roughly $6,127 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $2,450 to $3,676 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under VRLTA Va. Code 55.1-1245.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, state-level (no county tracker available). Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 10,534 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline). Past 12 months: 139,873 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 643,855.

  • 10,534Past month
  • 139,873Past 12 months
  • 1.07×vs baseline (past mo)
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $36.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 - 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 11,279 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 11,871 filings (1.01× hist)2023-07-01: 11,681 filings (1.01× hist)2023-08-01: 11,916 filings (1.00× hist)2023-09-01: 11,466 filings (1.00× hist)2023-10-01: 12,415 filings (1.00× hist)2023-11-01: 10,388 filings (0.96× hist)2023-12-01: 11,234 filings (1.04× hist)2024-01-01: 12,658 filings (1.00× hist)2024-02-01: 12,400 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 10,487 filings (0.95× hist)2024-04-01: 10,082 filings (1.02× hist)2024-05-01: 11,419 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 11,744 filings (1.00× hist)2024-07-01: 11,546 filings (0.99× hist)2024-08-01: 11,845 filings (1.00× hist)2024-09-01: 11,560 filings (1.00× hist)2024-10-01: 12,537 filings (1.01× hist)2024-11-01: 11,255 filings (1.04× hist)2024-12-01: 10,429 filings (0.96× hist)2025-01-01: 14,590 filings (1.15× hist)2025-02-01: 10,161 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 11,563 filings (1.04× hist)2025-04-01: 10,358 filings (1.05× hist)2025-05-01: 11,904 filings (1.05× hist)2025-06-01: 10,882 filings (0.92× hist)2025-07-01: 13,152 filings (1.13× hist)2025-08-01: 11,685 filings (0.98× hist)2025-09-01: 11,970 filings (1.04× hist)2025-10-01: 12,965 filings (1.04× hist)2025-11-01: 10,193 filings (0.94× hist)2025-12-01: 10,630 filings (0.98× hist)2026-01-01: 12,943 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 11,303 filings (1.01× hist)2026-03-01: 11,712 filings (1.06× hist)2026-04-01: 10,534 filings (1.07× hist)
Filings dropped 12% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Aquia Harbour without a reason?

Virginia does not have statewide "just-cause" eviction requirements for lease terminations. If you have a month-to-month lease, you can terminate it with a 30-day notice without stating a specific reason. For a fixed-term lease, you generally need a lease violation (like non-payment) to evict before the term ends, unless the lease specifies otherwise. Always follow proper notice procedures.

Q2

What's the most common mistake landlords make during an eviction?

The most common mistake is failing to serve proper notice or attempting "self-help" eviction. Landlords often use informal texts instead of formal, written notices, or they try to change locks themselves. Both can invalidate your eviction case and open you up to lawsuits. Follow the Va. Code § 55.1-1200 et seq. rules precisely.

Q3

How much can I charge for a security deposit in Aquia Harbour?

In Virginia, you can charge up to 2.00 months' rent for a security deposit. For a property renting at $2,549/month, this means a maximum of $5,098. Remember to understand all Virginia security deposit rules for handling and returning it.

Q4

Does Virginia have rent control?

No, Virginia does not have statewide rent control. This means landlords in Aquia Harbour are generally free to set rent prices and increase them as market conditions dictate, provided they adhere to lease terms and proper notice for increases. You can learn more on our Virginia rent control rules page.

Q5

What if my tenant claims a maintenance issue to delay eviction?

Tenants can sometimes use alleged maintenance issues as a defense, claiming you haven't upheld your end of the lease. Document all maintenance requests and your responses thoroughly. If the issue is legitimate, address it promptly. If it's fabricated or minor, your documentation will help your case in court. A well-maintained property reduces these risks.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.8/10 places Aquia Harbour in the 67th percentile of Virginia cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.