Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

38% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $2,258 a month, rents sit 44% over what the rest of Suffolk commands. The voucher gap is 33.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.5/10.

On the high side is supply constraint at 8.3/10. Court records for this tract carry 130 eviction filings.

The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 27.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 8.6% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 20 mapped neighborhoods of Suffolk, it ranks #16 by risk, the lower third.

At 11% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Bennett Creek and River Shores score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.