Neighborhood · Suffolk, VA

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,407 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.2/10 · range 2.2–2.2

Lake Forest is a white-black neighborhood in Suffolk with 1 census tract and a population of 4,407 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 38% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,258/month sits 44% higher than the Suffolk citywide average ($1,563).

Risk score

2.2

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Lake Forest vs Suffolk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

58.1% +72%

Suffolk: 33.7%

Average gross rent

$2,258 +44%

Suffolk: $1,563

Average HH income

$112,727 +25%

Suffolk: $90,089

Poverty rate

5.9% -40%

Suffolk: 9.9%

Renter share

11.2% -62%

Suffolk: 29.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.2–2.2

Why Lake Forest scores 2.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Rent control risk

58% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

11% renter households · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

5.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts

8.3

Risk score comparison

Lake Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Lake Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51800075502	2.2	4,407	58%	$2,258

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 37%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 22%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lake Forest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

130Total filings (sum)
22.17%Avg annual filing rate
27.8%Peak year (2012)
8.57%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lake Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.6%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility shutoff threat
12.4%Food insecurity
10.0%SNAP enrollment
6.6%No health insurance
27.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Lake Forest

What is the eviction-risk score for Lake Forest?

Lake Forest scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lake Forest compare to Suffolk overall?

Lake Forest scores 1.6 points lower than Suffolk overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,258 vs $1,563.

What is the average rent in Lake Forest?

Average gross rent in Lake Forest is $2,258/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lake Forest residents are renters?

11% of Lake Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Suffolk). The neighborhood has 4,407 residents.

Is Lake Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Lake Forest sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Lake Forest for landlords?

Lake Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Suffolk as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lake Forest?

Lake Forest has 4,586 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (42.8%), Other / Multiracial (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lake Forest

2.2 Red Top 3 tracts · pop 9,942 1.9 Bennett Harbor 3 tracts · pop 6,528 3.2 Pughsville 2 tracts · pop 5,379 2.1 Bennett Creek 2 tracts · pop 8,044

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Suffolk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lake Forest.

2.2 River Shores 1 tracts · pop 5,638 2.1 Red Top 3 tracts · pop 9,942 2 Bennett Creek 2 tracts · pop 8,044 1.9 Bennett Harbor 3 tracts · pop 6,528 2.7 Willowbrook 1 tracts · pop 2,868 2.7 Forest Glen Terrace 1 tracts · pop 3,496

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