Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Suffolk
Tract 51800075502 · Suffolk city, VA · pop 4,407 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Lake Forest in Suffolk is where census tract 51800075502 sits, home to 4,407 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,258 a month against an average household income of $112,727 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,594
Renter share11.2%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$112,727
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Suffolk and the region
Centroid at 36.7758, -76.5178 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Forest scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Suffolk
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,258 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Suffolk
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Suffolk
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Suffolk
3.5
How Lake Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 6 yrs
- 22.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.8%Peak (2012)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 130 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 22.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.8% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51800075502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51800075502?
Census tract 51800075502 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51800075502?
Median gross rent is $2,258/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51800075502?
5.9% of residents in tract 51800075502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,407.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51800075502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 37th, minority 71th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 51800075502 considered part of Lake Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51800075502 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51800075502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51800075502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.17% of renter households, peaking at 27.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51800075502 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51800075502 compare to Suffolk overall?
Tract 51800075502 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Suffolk at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Suffolk
Top eight tracts in Suffolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Saratoga Place
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Philadelphia
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North Jericho
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51800075601
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lloyd Place
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pleasant Hill
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Nansemond Square
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pughsville
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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