Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Waynesboro
Tract 51820003500 · Waynesboro city, VA · pop 5,592 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 51820003500 covers the Oak Hill neighborhood of Waynesboro, home to 5,592 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,007 a month while the average household earns $52,206 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,626
Renter share43.1%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$52,206
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waynesboro and the region
Centroid at 38.0657, -78.9231 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Hill scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,007 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waynesboro
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waynesboro
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.9
How Oak Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 203Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.8%Peak (2014)
- 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Hill
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Waynesboro City County average of 6.0 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 203 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 7.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.8% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51820003500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51820003500?
Census tract 51820003500 in the Oak Hill neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51820003500?
Median gross rent is $1,007/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51820003500?
10.0% of residents in tract 51820003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,592.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51820003500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 55th, minority 31th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 51820003500 considered part of Oak Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51820003500 fall within Oak Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51820003500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 203 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51820003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.81% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51820003500 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51820003500 compare to Waynesboro overall?
Tract 51820003500 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Waynesboro at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waynesboro
Top eight tracts in Waynesboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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