Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Waynesboro
Tract 51820003500 · Waynesboro city, VA · pop 5,592 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 51820003500 covers part of the Oak Hill area of Waynesboro, VA, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,592 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,626
Renter share43.1%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$52,206
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waynesboro and the region
Centroid at 38.0657, -78.9231 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Hill scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,007 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waynesboro
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waynesboro
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.9
How Oak Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 203Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.8%Peak (2014)
- 46Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 33.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Hill
36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Waynesboro City average of 47.5%. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 203 filings here across 4 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 10.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Waynesboro City average of 4.2 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51820003500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51820003500?
Census tract 51820003500 in the Oak Hill neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51820003500?
Median gross rent is $1,007/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51820003500?
10.0% of residents in tract 51820003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,592.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51820003500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 55th, minority 31th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 51820003500 considered part of Oak Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51820003500 fall within Oak Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51820003500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 203 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51820003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.81% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51820003500 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51820003500 compare to Waynesboro overall?
Tract 51820003500 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Waynesboro at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waynesboro
Top eight tracts in Waynesboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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