Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Waynesboro Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51820003300 · Waynesboro city, VA · pop 4,778
Census tract 51820003300 covers part of Waynesboro, VA, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,778 residents. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Waynesboro City average of 47.5%.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,147
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$58,015
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waynesboro and the region
Centroid at 38.0911, -78.8926 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waynesboro scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$975 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waynesboro
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waynesboro
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.9
How Waynesboro compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 657Total filings over 4 yrs
- 17.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.8%Peak (2014)
- 155Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 15.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 36.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waynesboro
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 657 evictions over 4 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 19.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 17.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Waynesboro City average of 4.2 closely.
Average gross rent is $975, close to the Waynesboro average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51820003300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51820003300?
Census tract 51820003300 in Waynesboro scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51820003300?
Median gross rent is $975/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51820003300?
14.1% of residents in tract 51820003300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,778.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51820003300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 65th, minority 53th, housing 83th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51820003300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 657 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51820003300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.46% of renter households, peaking at 19.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51820003300 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51820003300 compare to Waynesboro overall?
Tract 51820003300 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Waynesboro at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waynesboro
Top eight tracts in Waynesboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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