Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Waynesboro Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51820003300 · Waynesboro city, VA · pop 4,778
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51820003300 (Waynesboro in Waynesboro City County, Virginia) comes in at 6.2/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $975 monthly, set against $58,015 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,147
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$58,015
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waynesboro and the region
Centroid at 38.0911, -78.8926 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waynesboro scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$975 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waynesboro
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waynesboro
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waynesboro
5.9
How Waynesboro compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 657Total filings over 4 yrs
- 17.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.8%Peak (2014)
- 155Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 15.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 36.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waynesboro
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Waynesboro City County average of 6.0 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 657 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 17.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.8% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51820003300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51820003300?
Census tract 51820003300 in Waynesboro scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51820003300?
Median gross rent is $975/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51820003300?
14.1% of residents in tract 51820003300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,778.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51820003300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 65th, minority 53th, housing 83th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51820003300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 657 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51820003300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.46% of renter households, peaking at 19.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51820003300 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51820003300 compare to Waynesboro overall?
Tract 51820003300 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Waynesboro at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waynesboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waynesboro
Top eight tracts in Waynesboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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