2 census tracts · pop 6,517 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 4.6–4.7
Big Bethel is a 2-tract neighborhood of Bethel Manor, VA and houses 6,517 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, Moderate tier. Against a Bethel Manor baseline of 29.3%, 49% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.5/10. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Average gross rent is $1,727, 19% below the Bethel Manor average of $2,121.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $73,657.
With little internal variation, 4.7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Big Bethel vs Bethel ManorHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Big Bethel
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.4%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility shutoff threat
14.7%Food insecurity
12.0%SNAP enrollment
9.4%No health insurance
25.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Big Bethel
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Big Bethel?
Big Bethel scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Big Bethel compare to Bethel Manor overall?
Big Bethel scores 1.0 points higher than Bethel Manor overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,727 vs $2,121.
Q3
What is the average rent in Big Bethel?
Average gross rent in Big Bethel is $1,727/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Big Bethel residents are renters?
89% of Big Bethel households are renter-occupied (vs 100% in Bethel Manor). The neighborhood has 6,517 residents.
Q5
Is Big Bethel a high social-vulnerability area?
Big Bethel sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Big Bethel have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Big Bethel is census tract 51199050207 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 4.7, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Big Bethel for landlords?
Big Bethel carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethel Manor as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Big Bethel?
Big Bethel has 6,526 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.5%), Hispanic / Latino (16.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
