Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Rocky Point Eviction Risk: Elevated , Kelso
Tract 53015001300 · Cowlitz County, WA · pop 4,413 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
53015001300 is a census tract in the Rocky Point area of Kelso, WA. It scores 6.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,413. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,525
Renter share38.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$69,046
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kelso and the region
Centroid at 46.1770, -122.8873 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rocky Point scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kelso
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,299 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kelso
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kelso
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kelso
7.7
How Rocky Point compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 256Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2004)
- 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 11 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rocky Point
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against Cowlitz County at 40.6%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.
It sits 1.3 points above the Cowlitz County average of 5.5. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
The filing record is not thin: 256 evictions over 11 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2004, when 7.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 53015001300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53015001300?
Census tract 53015001300 in the Rocky Point neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53015001300?
Median gross rent is $1,299/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53015001300?
16.9% of residents in tract 53015001300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,413.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53015001300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 49th, minority 42th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 53015001300 considered part of Rocky Point?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53015001300 fall within Rocky Point (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53015001300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 256 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 53015001300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.98% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53015001300 compare to Kelso overall?
Tract 53015001300 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Kelso at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kelso; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kelso
Top eight tracts in Kelso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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