West Kelso Eviction Risk: Elevated , Longview

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.9 points above the Cowlitz County average of 5.5.

Cost burden runs 50% here against 40.6% across Cowlitz County. Disability prevalence runs 44.2% against 31.5% nationally. At $886 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Longview commands.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 314 evictions over 11 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2014, when 2.9% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.